Due to scale-down operations, Vistara fares rise by up to 25% on major routes - Business Guardian
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Due to scale-down operations, Vistara fares rise by up to 25% on major routes

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Just ahead of the peak summer travel season, travel industry insiders reported a surge of approximately 20-25% in fares across key routes such as Delhi-Goa, Delhi-Kochi, Delhi-Jammu, and Delhi-Srinagar, said in a news report.

Vistara’s decision to reduce operations by 25-30 flights daily, approximately 10% of its capacity, has led to a 20-25% increase in airfares on major routes. Ahead of the peak summer travel season, insiders in the travel industry noted a surge of around 20-25% in fares on key routes like Delhi-Goa, Delhi-Kochi, Delhi-Jammu, and Delhi-Srinagar, according to the national daily.

On average, the airline conducts approximately 350 flights daily. However, since April 1, Vistara has been forced to cancel more than 150 flights cumulatively due to pilots unexpectedly reporting sick at the end of March. Given the ongoing demand-supply mismatch leading to higher airfares, Vistara’s move has exacerbated pressure, particularly on routes affected by cancellations.

While Vistara has not specified the duration of the capacity cut, indications suggest it will likely remain in effect until at least the end of April, keeping fares high on affected routes during this period, the report said.

Notably, in the Indian airlines’ summer schedule for 2024, Vistara showed significant growth in approved domestic flights compared to the previous winter schedule and last year’s summer schedule.

This year’s summer schedule, spanning March 31 to October 26, featured 2,324 weekly domestic departures by Vistara, marking a 25.2 per cent increase over last year’s summer schedule and 22.2 per cent over the recently concluded winter schedule.

Overall, the current summer schedule for all Indian carriers combined exhibits a 6 per cent year-on-year increase in domestic departures and a 2.3 per cent sequential increase.

Facing significant disruptions and numerous flight cancellations and delays last week amid several pilots taking sick leaves as part of a protest over a new pay structure, concerns have also arisen about Vistara’s impending merger with Air India.

The carrier has tried to resolve the issues. As part of mitigation efforts, the Tata Group airline last week announced a reduction in operational capacity, primarily in its domestic network, to provide “much-needed resilience and buffer” in its crew rosters.

Vistara also announced a new salary structure for its pilots. Under this arrangement, pilots will receive a fixed salary for 40 hours of flying time instead of the current 70 hours. Additionally, they will receive compensation for extra flying hours and a reward based on their years of service with the airline.

This new salary structure was offered as Vistara, which is a 51:49 joint venture of the Tata Group and Singapore Airlines, is in the process of being merged into Air India, which is wholly owned by the Tata Group.

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Emirates announces first 9 destinations to join its A350 network

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These aircraft are slated to serve short- to medium-haul routes within the Emirates network, with Bahrain being the debut destination.

Emirates has unveiled its inaugural lineup of destinations for its A350 aircraft, set to commence service in September 2024. The airline’s plan includes deploying 10 new A350s by March 31, 2025, to nine selected destinations, promising travelers the latest in cabin experiences.

The initial batch of Emirates A350s will feature three distinct cabin classes: 32 Business Class seats, 21 seats in Premium Economy, and 259 seats in Economy Class. These aircraft are slated to serve short- to medium-haul routes within the Emirates network, with Bahrain being the debut destination.

As Emirates integrates the A350s into its fleet, passengers will have more opportunities to enjoy the acclaimed Premium Economy product and explore the next generation of Business Class cabins, particularly on routes spanning the Middle East, GCC, West Asia, and Europe.

Adnan Kazim, Deputy President and Chief Commercial Officer at Emirates Airline, emphasized the A350’s significance, stating it will revolutionize regional travel by enhancing operational efficiency and flexibility across key markets. The introduction of the latest cabin products underscores Emirates’ commitment to delivering unparalleled customer experiences, featuring sought-after Premium Economy offerings, advanced in-flight entertainment, and various customer-friendly amenities. Kazim noted that deploying the A350 to nine cities within a short timeframe expands premium cabin options across geographies, reinforcing Emirates’ competitive edge and industry-leading position.

The airline has outlined the following schedule for the rollout of A350 services:

Middle East/GCC:

The first A350 flight to Bahrain will commence on September 15, operating the daily EK839/840 service, with an increase in frequency to two services per day starting November 1.
Kuwait will welcome its first Emirates A350 on September 16, serving the daily EK853/854 route.
Muscat will see A350 service on the daily EK866/867 flight from December 1.

West Asia:

Mumbai will be served by the A350 starting October 27 on the EK502/503 route.
Ahmedabad’s daily EK538/539 service will transition to A350 operation from October 27.
Colombo’s fourth daily service, EK654/655, will be operated by the A350 from January 1, 2025.

Europe:

Lyon will receive daily A350 service from December 1.
Bologna will be served by the A350 starting December 1.
Edinburgh will rejoin the Emirates network on November 4, operated by the A350, with further details to be announced.

Emirates plans to unveil additional destinations as new A350 aircraft join its fleet. Tickets for A350 flights are now available for purchase on emirates.com, the Emirates App, or through travel agents.

Passengers can anticipate a spacious and serene cabin onboard the A350, featuring high ceilings, ample bin space, and personalized mood lighting aimed at reducing fatigue and jet lag. Further details regarding seat features and cabin amenities will be disclosed in the coming months.

With 65 A350-900s on order, Emirates strategically aligns its fleet expansion with future growth plans and Dubai’s economic agenda, as outlined by HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, aiming to integrate 400 cities into Dubai’s foreign trade map over the next decade.

Emirates has today announced the first set of destinations to be served by its A350 aircraft, which will enter service in September 2024. With 10 new A350s expected to join the Emirates fleet by March 31, 2025, the airline plans to deploy its latest aircraft type to nine destinations in the coming months, offering customers its latest signature cabin experiences.

These first 10 Emirates A350 aircraft will offer three cabin classes, with 32 next-generation Business Class seats, 21 seats in Premium Economy, and 259 generously pitched Economy Class seats. All of these aircraft are earmarked to serve short- to medium-haul cities on the Emirates network, with Bahrain as its inaugural destination.

As the first Emirates A350s begin entering the fleet, the airline will offer customers more opportunities to experience its highly acclaimed Premium Economy product and sample its next generation of Business Class cabins for the first time, particularly on short and medium-haul routes in the Middle East and GCC, West Asia, and Europe.

Adnan Kazim, Deputy President and Chief Commercial Officer, Emirates Airline, said: “The A350 will be a game-changer for Emirates, enabling us to serve regional points with superior operating efficiency and flexibility across the Middle East and GCC, West Asia, and Europe. With the latest generation of cabin products, including more of our sought-after Premium Economy in more cities, top-notch in-flight entertainment technologies, and an abundance of other customer-friendly features, the Emirates A350 builds on our long-standing commitment to investing in the very best customer experience in the sky. Flying the A350 to nine cities in such a short span of time adds more premium cabin options and choice across geographies for our customers and ensures we maintain our competitive edge and industry-leading position.”

Newly delivered aircraft sporting the airline’s latest cabins will roll into scheduled service in the following cities:

In the Middle East/GCC:
Emirates will operate its first A350 to Bahrain on the daily EK839/840 service from September 15. The frequency of A350 services will progressively increase to cover two Bahrain services, with the second service starting on November 1.
The first Emirates A350 will land in Kuwait on the daily EK853/854 service on September 16.
Muscat’s daily EK866/867 will be served by the A350 from December 1.

In West Asia:
The Emirates A350 will be deployed on EK502/503 to Mumbai on October 27.
Ahmedabad’s daily EK538/539 will be served by the A350 from October 27.
Colombo’s fourth daily service, EK654/655, will be served by the A350 from January 1, 2025.

In Europe:
Lyon will be served daily with the Emirates A350 from December 1.
Bologna will be served by the A350 from December 1.
Edinburgh will rejoin the Emirates network on November 4, operated by the A350. More details are to follow soon.

Emirates will announce more destinations in the coming months as new aircraft join its fleet.

Emirates flights to A350 destinations go on sale today and can be booked on emirates.com, the Emirates App, or via travel agents.

Customers can look forward to the A350’s spacious and quiet cabin, high ceilings, expansive bin space, and customized mood lighting designed to reduce fatigue and jet lag. Additional Emirates A350 seat features and other cabin details will be announced in the coming months.

Emirates has 65 A350-900s on order, and all are carefully planned to support the airline’s future growth as well as Dubai’s economic agenda set out by HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum to add 400 cities to Dubai’s foreign trade map over the next decade.

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Paytm’s UPI transactions drop again, market share shrinks

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ED ASKS PAYTM TO FREEZE AMOUNTS IN MERCHANT IDS

The company cornered 8.4 per cent market share in the UPI applications’ ecosystem in April. The share has come down from 10.8 per cent and 9.13 per cent.

Paytm, a leading fintech player, witnessed a third consecutive monthly decrease in Unified Payments Interface (UPI) transactions in April, according to data from the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). In April, the company processed 1,117.13 million transactions, marking a 9% decrease from March’s 1,230.04 million transactions. Consequently, its market share within the UPI ecosystem has contracted, declining from 10.8% in February to 8.4% in April.

However, the Noida-based company has continued to retain its spot as the third largest player in the ecosystem because other players are considerably smaller in comparison to the fintech major. For instance, Cred, which finds itself in the fourth position on the UPI transaction charts, is a much smaller player as compared to Paytm. In April this year, Cred processed 138.46 million transactions, whereas Paytm handled 1,117.13 million transactions, indicating that Cred’s transaction volume is at least eight times lower than that of Paytm.

Meanwhile, the top two players, PhonePe and Google Pay, processed 6,500 million and 5,027.3 million transactions, respectively, in April. Their share in the overall transaction numbers was pegged at 48.8 per cent and 37.8 per cent, respectively.

Both the companies have seen their share of UPI transactions inch up after the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) action on Paytm’s associate entity Paytm Payments Bank. In February 2024, Walmart-owned PhonePe held a share of 47.3 per cent in overall transaction volumes. Meanwhile, Google Pay had a share of 36.7 per cent the same month.

As other major UPI apps gain traction, Paytm has seen a silver lining after NPCI allowed the fintech firm to function as a third-party application provider (TPAP) in March this year.

Following which in the last month, the NPCI allowed Paytm to start migration of users to new payment service provider (PSP) bank handles.

These four banks — State Bank of India (SBI), Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, and YES Bank — now act as PSPs to Paytm.

Paytm would continue to see a decline in the volume of transactions processed on UPI since the company cannot add new users until the existing ones are migrated to a new handle.

This came after the RBI’s crippling restrictions on Paytm Payments Bank.

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Made-in-India Vande Bharat metro trains coming soon for faster city connections

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India is set to join the select global club of metro train rolling stock manufacturers with the introduction of domestically manufactured 12-coach trains. These trains, extendable to 16 coaches if required, are designed to cater to India’s rapidly expanding inter-city and suburban routes. It is anticipated that 50 such trains will be introduced in the first two years following the approval of the prototype, with larger orders of over 400 trains expected to follow. This initiative represents a significant investment worth ₹50,000 crore over the next few years in manufacturing units.

Currently, metro coaches operating in various Indian cities are predominantly supplied by global train makers. However, with the introduction of domestically manufactured trains, India aims to reduce costs significantly, making it one of the cheapest metro systems globally. The move towards localization is expected to have a positive impact on job creation, investment in research and development, and reducing dependence on imports, thereby fostering self-sufficiency in India.

The 12-coach trains, equipped with modern amenities akin to the existing Vande Bharat trains, will have a maximum speed of 120-160 km per hour, facilitating faster inter-city travel with more stops. They will cater to both general passengers and daily commuters, featuring an entire unreserved configuration to accommodate diverse travel needs.

The rollout of these trains is part of a broader strategy under the Make in India initiative, aimed at transforming the landscape of rail travel in India. Prime Minister Narendra Modi had previously announced plans for three versions of Vande Bharat semi-high-speed trains, with the first chair car version launched in February 2019. Currently, 51 Vande Bharat trains, serving 102 train services across 100 different routes spanning 284 districts in 24 states and Union Territories, are operational. The introduction of the second chair car version and the metro versions of Vande Bharat trains is expected later this year.

The production of domestically manufactured metro trains marks a significant milestone for India’s railway sector, signaling a shift towards self-reliance and innovation. By leveraging local manufacturing capabilities, India aims to enhance its infrastructure and connectivity while stimulating economic growth and job creation. Furthermore, the potential for export opportunities underscores India’s growing prowess in the global rail manufacturing market. Initially catering to domestic demand, these trains may later explore export options, further bolstering India’s position as a key player in the global rail industry.

Overall, the introduction of domestically manufactured 12-coach trains represents a strategic step towards achieving self-sufficiency in India’s rail sector. With a focus on innovation, affordability, and scalability, these trains are poised to revolutionize inter-city and suburban travel, enhancing connectivity and accessibility for millions of passengers across the country.

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Indian airlines to carry 50 % of India’s global traffic by FY2

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The share of Indian air carriers in international passenger traffic originating from, terminating in, or transitioning through India is set to surge 700 basis points (bps) to 50 per cent by fiscal 2028 from 43 per cent in fiscal 2024, driven by airlines deploying additional aircraft and adding new routes in the international segment, as well as their inherent advantage of superior domestic connectivity compared with foreign carriers.

The business profiles of Indian carriers will strengthen as a result of their rising share in international traffic, which is more profitable than the domestic segment. India’s international passenger traffic grew to around 70 million in fiscal 2024, from a low of 10 million in pandemic-hit fiscal 2021, to surpass the pre-pandemic level.

The share of Indian airlines, which was rising steadily earlier, picked up pace since the pandemic. Manish Gupta, Senior Director, CRISIL Ratings observes a noticeable shift in spending patterns has emerged after the pandemic, as evident in the increasing inclination of Indians towards international leisure travel. Increasing disposable incomes, easing visa requirements, growing number of airports and enhanced air travel connectivity are boosting international travel.

“The Government’s focus on making India a hub for tourism is also expected to provide a fillip to inbound traffic. Thus, international passenger traffic is likely to clock a CAGR of 10-11 per cent over the next four fiscals, against a mere 5% CAGR in the four years prior to the pandemic,” points out Gupta. Indian airlines are looking to capture a large portion of the growth in international passenger traffic as it is typically more profitable due to higher yields and has less intense competition compared with domestic routes.

They have already added 55 new international routes over the past 15 months, taking their tally beyond 300. These include direct flights originating from additional cities to popular long-haul destinations in the United States, Europe and Australia, effectively reducing flying time and eliminating layovers. The homegrown carriers are also aiming to deploy additional aircraft on the short- and medium-haul international routes and leveraging codeshare agreements with major global airlines to offer onward connectivity to passengers.

As such, Indian airlines have certain natural advantages in cornering a larger share of the country’s international traffic compared with foreign airlines. They have superior domestic connectivity than their overseas counterparts – which serve only select Indian cities – and can offer end-to-end international connectivity on a single ticket to travelers from tier 2 and tier 3 cities. India’s geographic location also lends itself well to air connections between the EMEA and Asia Pacific regions, potentially positioning the country as a hub for international travel. To capitalize on the growth in international travel, Indian airlines are investing in widebody and long-range narrowbody aircraft for network expansion, adding new international routes and introducing long-haul non-stop flights to key destinations.

Aided by the planned fleet addition and network expansion strategy, Indian airlines could log a CAGR of 14-15 per cent in the international segment over the next four fiscals, taking their market share to 50 per cent. That said, an economic slowdown impacting discretionary air travel and higher-than-expected competition from foreign airlines can delay the gain in market share by Indian airlines and, thus, will bear watching.

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Sunflower Oil Refiners expected to experience 8-10% dip in volume, yet operational margins poised for recovery in FY25

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Indian refined sunflower oil volumes are projected to witness a decline of 8–10 percent in FY25 amid a decline in demand for sunflower oil. According to a report by CRISIL Ratings, domestic consumers have returned to soybean oil after prices declined following a good soy harvest.

The report further highlights that despite this shift, sunflower oil refiners are expected to experience a 50–60 basis point expansion in profitability, attributed to stable prices, effective hedging policies, and the government’s commitment to continuing duty-free imports.

“With a bumper crop, the price of soybean oil is likely to correct by USD 100 per tonne on-year and be on a par with sunflower oil in fiscal 2025. The resultant shift in consumption towards soybean oil will lower sunflower oil volume to 28-29 lakh tonne in fiscal 2025 from 32 lakh tonne in fiscal 2024, although volume would remain higher than the historical average of five years through fiscal 2024,” said Jayashree Nandakumar, Director, CRISIL Ratings.

The report also shares that despite an anticipated decline in volumes, the prices of refined sunflower oil are expected to hold steady due to high shipping and freight costs amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East.

“Despite the degrowth, profitability of refiners would improve 50–60 bps, supported by favorable spreads on robust demand and no anticipated sharp fluctuations in prices. Also, refiners have firm hedging policies in place to avoid downside price risks,” said Rishi Hari, Associate Director, CRISIL Ratings.

The Indian edible oil landscape is primarily dominated by palm oil, comprising approximately 40 percent of total volumes, followed by soybean oil and sunflower oil with shares of 20 percent and 15 percent, respectively. Sunflower oil demand is intricately linked to the pricing dynamics of its substitutes, particularly palm oil and soybean oil.

India has significant sunflower oil refining capacities and imports over 95 percent of its sunflower crude requirement. While refined sunflower oil is predominantly consumed within the country, the movement in its prices largely depends on that of imported crude.

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Construction sector eyes steady FY25 growth, Private Capex Crucial: Ind-Ra Report

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Construction sector entities’ revenues to grow by 12-15% in FY25: Icra. ICRA maintains a stable outlook on the sector with steady growth.

India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) projects a consistent performance for the construction sector in FY25, particularly highlighting the engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) segment. However, concerns persist regarding the roads’ EPC sub-sector, indicating a declining perspective.

Krishan Binani, Director of Corporate Ratings at Ind-Ra, attributes the neutral outlook to the anticipation of a 10% to 12% year-on-year revenue growth in FY25. He anticipates a pickup in order inflows in the latter half of the fiscal year, driven by supportive government budgets and an expected surge in private-sector capital expenditure.

Binani stated, “The neutral sector outlook is backed by an expectation of 10 per cent-12 per cent yoy revenue growth in FY25. Order inflows are likely to pick up in 2HFY25, led by supportive government budgets along with the expectation of acceleration of the private sector’s capex. Margins are expected to modestly pick up with credit metrics improving further.”

Despite the ongoing emphasis on capital expenditure by the central government and the anticipated resurgence in state and private spending, the pace of order execution within the EPC sector is likely to moderate in FY25, particularly in the first quarter due to elections. The Centre’s own capex is projected to grow at 17 per cent in FY25, following the trend of reduced spending in an election year.

Ind-Ra’s analysis, excluding Larsen & Toubro Ltd, indicates that revenue growth in FY24 exceeded expectations, likely reaching 17 per cent-18 per cent compared to the estimated 14 per cent-16 per cent. The civil construction, power (especially transmission & distribution), water, and metro sectors are expected to lead revenue growth in FY25, while growth in roads and railways may be sluggish.

Ind-Ra expects a modest margin expansion of 30-50 basis points year-on-year in FY25, with further recovery anticipated in credit metrics due to increased profitability and a stable working capital cycle. New order inflows are anticipated to begin in late 2QFY25, following the conclusion of elections.

Despite the significant growth in tender awards in FY24, the upcoming elections may slow down tendering activities in 1QFY25, with momentum expected to pick up from June 2024 onwards. The liquidity profile of EPC sector entities in FY25 is predicted to remain adequate, supported by improvements in cash flow from operations and proposed capital expenditure financing.

However, increased working capital requirements due to the withdrawal of exemptions provided under Atmanirbhar Bharat could pose challenges. Banks are expected to maintain cautious lending practices to EPC players, with tightened sanctioning terms and increased collateral requirements due to sector volatility.

Nonetheless, Ind-Ra observed some improvement in liquidity profiles in 9MFY24, with rising recoveries and an increase in non-fund-based limits across the sector.

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