The introduction of higher import duties and the Quality Control Order (QCO) has significantly impacted the toy trade in India with imports falling drastically from USD 304.1 million in FY2019 to USD 64.9 million in FY2024. Decisive steps—which include raising import duties—to curb the inflow of substandard toy imports by the Indian Government since 2020, especially from China, while simultaneously strengthening the domestic toy industry, as per a latest insight from Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI).

The steepest decline occurred between FY2020 and FY2022, demonstrating the direct impact of the new regulations. Imports dropped from USD 279.3 million in FY2020 to USD 35.9 million by FY2022, then slightly rose to USD 62.4 million in FY2023 and USD 64.9 million in FY2024. This sharp decrease over the last four years is directly due to (QCO) measures, as per GTRI data. There was an increase in imports from other regions such as ASEAN countries, Sri Lanka, and the Czech Republic.

One of the foremost impacts was that the share of imports from China dropped from 87 per cent of India’s total toy imports in FY2019 to 64 per cent in FY2024. The Indian toy industry has an estimated value of USD 3 billion in contrast, to USD100 billion of China. In FY2019, share of China was 87 per cent in India’s global imports of USD 304.1 million. In FY2024, share of China was 64 per cent in India’s global imports of USD 64.9 million. Share of other suppliers was ASEAN with 16.7 per cent, Sri Lanka with 12.4 per cent and Czech Republic contributing 4.7 per cent.

Government data quotes an IIM Lucknow case study to highlight that Indian toy industry witnessed remarkable growth in FY 2022-23 in comparison to FY 2014-15, with the decline in imports by 52 per cent rise in exports by 239 per cent and development of overall quality of the toys available in the domestic market. The study at the behest of Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) shows that the efforts of the Government have enabled in creation of a more conducive manufacturing ecosystem for the industry in a span of 6 years, from 2014 to 2020, which has seen doubling of the number of manufacturing units, reduction in dependence on imported inputs from 33 per cent to 12 per cent, increase in gross sales value by a CAGR of 10 per cent, and overall rise in labour productivity.

According to GTRI, Government measures which have focused on increasing import duties and introducing the QCO. India dramatically raised import duties on toys beginning in February 2020. The basic customs duty was increased from 20 per cent to 60 per cent and then to 70 per cent in July 2021, where it currently remains. This substantial increase in duties made imported toys significantly more expensive, thus creating a competitive advantage for locally produced toys. The second intervention in the form of QCO, implemented from January 2021, mandates that all toys sold in India, whether domestically produced or imported, must comply with specific Indian standards for safety.

However, according Ajay Srivastava, founder GTRI, exports did not benefit from the QCO. While the domestic measures were primarily aimed at boosting local industry and ensuring safety, they did not significantly enhance India’s toy exports. From FY2020 to FY2022, exports increased modestly from USD 129.6 million to USD177 million. However, by FY2024, exports had decreased to USD 152.3 million. India exported electronic toys worth USD 25.7 million and imported such toys worth USD 0.06 million, exported plastic dolls, metal and other non-electronic toys amounting to USD 78.74 million, while imports were at USD 18.74 million. Parts of electronic toys saw exports of USD 0.15 million and imports of USD 20.99 million. Parts of other toys category had exports worth USD 47.75 million and imports of USD 25.13 million.

The report suggests more comprehensive approach for development of toy industry with focus on developing a robust domestic ecosystem by investing in research and development to foster innovation in toy design and functionality and positioning Indian toys competitively on the global stage. The GTRI suggests strengthening partnerships between toy manufacturers and design institutes to continuously introduce innovative products and establishing specialised toy manufacturing hubs to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Modernising traditional Indian toys while preserving their cultural value to create unique products and support to small and medium enterprises in leveraging digital marketing and promoting Indian toys at international fairs to establish global connections are the other recommendations.

• In 2022, the global market imported toys valued at approximately US$60.3 billion.
• Dominating this market, China exported toys worth US$48.3 billion, securing an 80 per cent share of the global exports.
• Other significant contributors to the global toy export market include the Czech Republic with exports of US$3.2 billion, the European Union with US$2.7 billion, Vietnam with US$1.7 billion, and Hong Kong with US$1.1 billion.
• India’s share in the global toy export market is minimal, totalling USD167 million, which represents only 0.3 per cent of the global exports, ranking it 27th. On the import side, India ranks even lower, at 61st, with toy imports amounting to USD 60 million.
• The largest importers of toys are led by the USA, which alone imported toys worth USD 22.2 billion.
• The European Union followed with imports totalling USD 9 billion and other significant importers include Japan at USD 2.8 billion, Canada at US$1.6 billion, Australia at US$1.5 billion, Mexico at US$1.1 billion, and South Korea at US$927 million.
• This distribution highlights the vast potential and opportunities in the global toy trade, areas where India could aim to increase its presence.

That apart, says Srivastava, there is need to encourage global toy brands to manufacture in India and invite international toy manufacturers who currently operate in China, such as Hasbro, Mattel, Lego, Spin Master and MGA Entertainment to consider setting up facilities in India. This move could help shift part of the global toy production market to India. There are also lessons from China like analysing and adopting best practices from Chinese manufacturers who manage a vast range of toy types and scale production efficiently. India could study the capacity to produce both low-cost and high-quality toys, handle a wide range of toy types, from simple plush toys to complex electronic gadgets and easily scale production up or down to meet the demands of international brands.

The GTRI founder also emphasises on reducing dependency on imports by developing local production capabilities for critical toy-making materials and components, such as glass eyes for dolls, beads, imitation stones, various types of plastics, electric motors and remote control apparatus will decrease costs and enhance the self-sufficiency of the Indian toy industry. Imports of inputs used for making toys is much higher than import of finished toys. For example, India imported glass eyes for dolls or other toys, beads and imitation stones of value USD 137.2 million in FY2024. These steps aim to not only strengthen India’s position in the global toy market but also ensure a sustainable and innovative domestic industry that can meet both local and international demands.

The central government has permitted exports of 14,000 tons of non-basmati white rice to Mauritius.

The central government has granted approval for the export of 14,000 tonnes of non-basmati white rice to Mauritius. This decision is significant considering that the export of non-basmati white rice was prohibited in July 2023 to stabilize domestic prices and ensure food security within the country. The exports to Mauritius will be facilitated through National Cooperative Exports Limited, as stated in the notification by the Directorate General of Foreign Trade. Previously, India had permitted the export of similar rice varieties to Nepal, Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, the Republic of Guinea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Seychelles, the UAE, Singapore, Comoros, Madagascar, Equatorial Guinea, Egypt, and Kenya, albeit in varying quantities.

While initially amending the rice export policy, DGFT maintained that the export would be allowed based on permission granted by the government to other countries to meet their food security needs and based on the request of their government. West African country Benin is one of the major importers of non-basmati rice from India. Other destination countries are UAE, Nepal, Bangladesh, China, Cote D’ Ivoire, Togo, Senegal, Guinea, Vietnam, Djibouti, Madagascar, Cameroon, Somalia, Malaysia, and Liberia.

In late August, India also introduced additional safeguards by imposing a minimum floor price on exports of basmati rice to prevent exports of non-basmati white rice, which was already under the prohibited category since July.

The central government extended the 20 per cent export duty on parboiled rice till March 31, 2024. Rice which is partially boiled with husk is called parboiled rice. Initially, the duty was introduced on August 25, 2023, and was due to remain effective till October 16, 2023, aimed at maintaining adequate domestic availability and checking its price.

India in September 2022 banned the exports of broken rice and imposed a 20 per cent duty on exports of non-Basmati rice, except for parboiled rice amid concerns about low production due to a fall in the area under the paddy crop. It later lifted the ban in November.

In April, liquefied natural gas (LNG) futures trading volumes experienced a significant surge amidst rising demand and geopolitical tensions, indicating robust activity in anticipation of the upcoming summer season. India, a key player in the global LNG market, has witnessed a steady increase in LNG imports driven by various sectors such as power, industry, and transportation.

Data from March 2024 revealed that India’s total LNG imports, including both long-term contracts and spot purchases, amounted to 1.9 million metric tonnes (MMT), valued at USD 1113 million. Over the fiscal year 2023-24, India’s cumulative LNG imports reached 23.3 MMT, totaling USD 13266 million. Forecasts suggest a further 7-8% increase in LNG imports in 2024, driven by growing demand and ongoing infrastructure development initiatives.

India’s aspirations to enhance its LNG import capacity align with its goal to increase the share of natural gas in its energy mix to 15% by 2030, aiming to reduce reliance on more polluting fossil fuels like coal and oil. Market data from S&P Global Commodity Insights indicated a significant uptick in Japan Korea Marker (JKM) LNG futures and JKM LNG balance-month next-day futures trading volumes in April, reflecting heightened market activity.

According to the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), LNG futures trading volumes experienced a notable month-on-month increase of 5.65% and a remarkable year-on-year rise of 134.43%, with 87,209 lots cleared. These derivative contracts, equivalent to approximately 16.77 million metric tonnes or 264 cargoes, underscore strong trading interest in LNG futures. Open interest for these contracts reached a 26-month high of 107,972 lots by the end of April, demonstrating robust market participation.

Analysts attribute the surge in LNG futures trading to various factors, including a spike in Asia-Pacific spot LNG prices amidst geopolitical tensions. Market sentiment turned cautious following increased risks, particularly the conflict between Iran and Israel in mid-April. The Platts JKM, a key benchmark reflecting LNG delivered to Northeast Asia, witnessed an increase in April, with the average price rising to USD 10.07/MMBtu compared to USD 9.15/MMBtu in March.

India and Nigeria have decided to finalize a local currency settlement system agreement soon and have identified several areas of focus for economic cooperation, including digital economy and digital public infrastructure, crude oil and natural gas, and pharmaceuticals. These decisions follow the 2nd session of the India-Nigeria Joint Trade Committee held in Abuja on Thursday.

Nigeria is India’s 2nd largest trading partner in the Africa region. Bilateral trade between India and Nigeria stood at USD 11.8 billion in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, bilateral trade declined to 7.89 billion. With a total investment of USD 27 billion, approximately 135 Indian companies are actively engaged in Nigeria’s vibrant market. These investments span diverse sectors, including infrastructure, manufacturing, consumer goods, and services.

A seven-member delegation from India led by Additional Secretary, Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce and Industry Amardeep Singh Bhatia, accompanied by High Commissioner of India to Nigeria G Balasubramanian and Economic Adviser, Department of Commerce Priya P. Nair, held a Joint Trade Committee (JTC) meeting with their Nigerian counterparts in Abuja from 29-30 April 2024. The JTC was co-chaired by Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, Nigeria, Ambassador Nura Abba Rimi, and Additional Secretary, Department of Commerce.

In a comprehensive dialogue, both sides undertook a detailed review of recent developments in bilateral trade and investment ties and acknowledged the vast untapped potential for further expansion. To this effect, both sides identified several areas of focus for enhancing both bilateral trade as well as mutually beneficial investments. These areas include resolving market access issues, cooperation in key sectors such as crude oil and natural gas, pharmaceuticals, unified payments interface, local currency settlement system, power sector and renewable energy, agriculture and food processing, education, transport, railway, aviation, MSME development, etc.

The official delegation from India included officials from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), EXIM Bank of India, and National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). The officials from both sides actively engaged in the proceedings of the JTC, showing an enthusiastic response towards greater cooperation, addressing pending issues, boosting trade and investment, and fostering greater people-to-people contacts.

In a concerted effort to bolster bilateral trade, both sides committed to expeditiously address all issues impeding bilateral trade and facilitate trade promotion between the two nations. A business delegation led by CII (Confederation of Indian Industry) also accompanied the official delegation, comprising representatives from various sectors like power, fintech, telecommunications, electrical machinery, pharmaceuticals, etc.

The deliberations of the 2nd Session of the India-Nigeria JTC were cordial and forward-looking, indicative of the amicable and special relations between the two countries.

India and New Zealand are set to deepen collaboration in pharma, agriculture, and food processing industries, and enhance services sector trade after a delegation led by Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal held a number of constructive and outcome-oriented meetings in New Zealand to work on ways to deepen the existing bilateral relations, the Commerce Ministry said on Friday.

Following a series of these consultations with the Minister for Trade of New Zealand Todd McClay, Acting Chief Executive and Secretary of Foreign Affairs and Trade of New Zealand Brook Barrington, the India-New Zealand Business Council (INZBC) and the 11th India-New Zealand Joint Trade Committee, both sides acknowledged the existing huge potential in both economies and mutual trade complementarities as well as the scope to increase the trade and people to people contacts.

The meetings addressed bilateral trade matters of mutual interest, including issues related to market access, non-tariff barriers (NTBs), and sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) measures on products like grapes, okra, and mangoes, mutual recognition arrangement (MRA) in organic products, simplified homologation including through mutual recognition of comparable domestic standards for vehicles, etc. Both parties reaffirmed their commitment to resolve these issues through constructive dialogue and cooperation under the existing mechanism of the JTC.

Among the focused discussions on several key areas aimed at promoting bilateral trade and cooperation, were progress on market access issues, economic cooperation projects, and explored opportunities for new initiatives. Both sides discussed the establishment of robust bilateral economic dialogue architecture and the creation of working groups on sectors like agriculture, food processing, storage and transportation, forestry, and pharmaceuticals to facilitate ongoing collaboration on key trade and economic issues.

Services sector and enhancing its scale for bilateral trade was given special focus during the discussions held at various levels which revealed great interest from both sides for increasing business to business as well as people to people contacts and to work on the skill gaps and how the same can be strengthened through capacity building and improving the ease of mobility. It touched upon areas such as hospitality sector including adventure tourism, nursing, telemedicine, education, air connectivity, Joint R&D (wherever feasible), startups, etc.

Collaboration in the area of pharmaceuticals and medical devices sector was discussed at length, including the adoption of fast-tracking of regulatory processes and quality assessment of manufacturing facilities using, as appropriate, the inspection reports of comparable overseas regulators. Greater sourcing of medicines from India and cooperation in the medical device sector was also discussed.

Both parties briefly explored opportunities for collaboration in digital trade, meeting nationally determined contributions, cross-border payment systems, among others. The discussions also included cooperation in the horticulture sector, including cooperation in the kiwi fruit sector (quality and productivity, proper storage in pack houses and their suitable transportation), as well as the dairy sector. Once working groups are established, India and New Zealand will review the progress made by those working groups and the recommendations thereof at regular intervals.

In a move aimed at strengthening bilateral trade and investment ties between Russia and India, the Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCI) of the Russian Federation has inaugurated its second office in Mumbai. The opening ceremony was attended by a high level business delegation led by Sergey Katyrin, President of the CCI of the Russian Federation. “India is a strategic, reliable, old friend of Russia. We already have a representative office in Delhi, and now we are here to inaugurate the 2nd representative office of CCI in India at Mumbai,” said Katyrin, highlighting the significance of the occasion.

The CCI, representing over 53,000 business organizations and more than 280 business unions at the federal level, along with 750 unions at the regional level in Russia, aims to foster closer ties with India through its expanded presence in Mumbai. With more than 100 bilateral agreements signed with various countries and 30 representative offices across the globe, the decision to open a second office in India underscores the growing importance of the India-Russia business relationship.

Katyrin emphasized that both representative offices will play a pivotal role in promoting bilateral trade, investment, and technology collaboration for Russian companies in India, as well as facilitating opportunities for Indian companies in Russia. Addressing the issue of the current lopsided bilateral trade, Katyrin stated that the representative offices will work towards correcting the trade deficit by facilitating India’s exports. Aleksei Surovtsev, Consul General of the Consulate General of the Russian Federation, highlighted the significant progress made in India-Russia trade relations, with Russia now ranking as India’s 4th largest trade partner, up from the 20th position just two years ago.

The bilateral trade in goods and services has exceeded USD 55 billion, indicating the immense potential for further strengthening the partnership between the two nations. Vijay Kalantri, Chairman of MVIRDC World Trade Center Mumbai, commended the enduring friendship between India and Russia, noting that bilateral goods trade has surpassed the USD 50 billion mark this year. He expressed optimism that with sustained efforts, the two countries could achieve a trade volume of over USD 100 billion in the next three years.

The opening of the second CCI office in India comes at a crucial juncture, as both countries seek to deepen economic cooperation and explore new avenues for collaboration across various sectors. With Russia emerging as a key player in India’s trade landscape, the expanded presence of the CCI in Mumbai is expected to catalyze further growth in bilateral trade and investment flows.